FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction
Paper • 2508.11987 • Published • 73
Datasets:
id stringlengths 24 24 | prompt stringlengths 295 567 | end_time stringdate 2026-08-26 12:00:00+0800 2026-09-01 23:59:59+0800 | level int64 1 4 | en_title stringlengths 35 129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
fa081774b75deba4b9cec134 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. commercial crude-oil stocks for the week ending August 21, 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End ... | 2026-08-26T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. commercial crude-oil stocks for the week ending August 21, 2026 |
e4241caf5a2857dea36b22a4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Tokyo Ku-area core CPI annual change — August 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-28T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{YOUR_P... | 2026-08-28T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Tokyo Ku-area core CPI annual change — August 2026 |
9adc5a429b385fd806f749c1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Spain flash HICP annual change — August 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-28T16:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{YOUR_PREDICT... | 2026-08-28T16:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Spain flash HICP annual change — August 2026 |
6cfe435dd2e257e03e033825 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. job openings — July 2026 JOLTS (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}. | 2026-09-01T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. job openings — July 2026 JOLTS |
48e68bf06f1297c45a5c0b0d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. construction spending, July 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{YOUR_PREDICTION}. | 2026-09-01T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. construction spending, July 2026 |
c87062cbcf6571851cc57230 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total goals will Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart score in the 2026/27 Bundesliga opener? (resolved around 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 or 1
B. the outcome be 2
C. the outcome be 3
D. the outcome be 4 or more... | 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many total goals will Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart score in the 2026/27 Bundesliga opener? |
1c98319a65c95b5089fee35c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "By what margin will Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg be decided in Bundesliga Matchday 1? (resolved around 2026-08-30T05:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Draw
B. the outcome be 1-goal margin
C. the outcome be 2-goal margin
D. the outcome be... | 2026-08-30T05:00:00+08:00 | 2 | By what margin will Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg be decided in Bundesliga Matchday 1? |
bcb4e62555836d49f3511ede | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many total goals will Sevilla FC and Atlético de Madrid score in LALIGA Matchday 3? (resolved around 2026-08-30T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 0 or 1
B. the outcome be 2
C. the outcome be 3
D. the outcome be 4 or more"
IMPORTAN... | 2026-08-30T06:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many total goals will Sevilla FC and Atlético de Madrid score in LALIGA Matchday 3? |
57070ad0107466481878d60a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the result of Real Sociedad vs RCD Espanyol in LALIGA Matchday 3? (resolved around 2026-08-30T04:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Real Sociedad win
B. the outcome be Draw
C. the outcome be RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win"
IMP... | 2026-08-30T04:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the result of Real Sociedad vs RCD Espanyol in LALIGA Matchday 3? |
7593c89b86c3acc5e9d2b941 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the 5:00 a.m. HST 26 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA list for Tropical Cyclone Lala? (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be hurricane (64 knots or greater)
B. the outcome be tropical s... | 2026-08-26T23:05:00+08:00 | 2 | At the 5:00 a.m. HST 26 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA list for Tropical Cyclone Lala? |
4b21af3b61c03119d68a7f27 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "At the 5:00 a.m. HST 26 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA list for Tropical Cyclone Moke? (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:05:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be hurricane (64 knots or greater)
B. the outcome be tropical s... | 2026-08-26T23:05:00+08:00 | 2 | At the 5:00 a.m. HST 26 August 2026 advisory, what intensity category will NOAA list for Tropical Cyclone Moke? |
956a76b1e26babd9e72c3ae5 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NCHS: percent of anxiety-disorder health-center visits with a mood-disorder co-diagnosis (resolved around 2026-08-27T11:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or comment... | 2026-08-27T11:59:59+08:00 | 3 | NCHS: percent of anxiety-disorder health-center visits with a mood-disorder co-diagnosis |
6a2baa120769500205fc4f3a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Northern Ireland HSC whole-time-equivalent staff — June 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-26T16:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \bo... | 2026-08-26T16:35:00+08:00 | 3 | Northern Ireland HSC whole-time-equivalent staff — June 2026 |
41916162d197cd0730563406 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NASA Roman Space Telescope: will Falcon Heavy lift off by the listed backup opportunity? (resolved around 2026-08-31T20:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \box... | 2026-08-31T20:00:00+08:00 | 1 | NASA Roman Space Telescope: will Falcon Heavy lift off by the listed backup opportunity? |
f0104bb21736589b1e5a3ccb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many riders will be classified in the 2026 MotoGP Aragon Grand Prix? (resolved around 2026-08-31T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: ... | 2026-08-31T06:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many riders will be classified in the 2026 MotoGP Aragon Grand Prix? |
879245ec7c369e2ac25d9ae4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact total goals will Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes score on 29 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-30T13:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or ... | 2026-08-30T13:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact total goals will Houston Dynamo FC and San Jose Earthquakes score on 29 August 2026? |
ca8511b25d2eaf749e36d52e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many completed rounds will Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong last at UFC Shanghai? (resolved around 2026-08-30T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary... | 2026-08-30T08:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many completed rounds will Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong last at UFC Shanghai? |
4405b5604c4d30f8e8279ab4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. July 2026 personal consumption expenditures price index (resolved around 2026-08-26T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \bo... | 2026-08-26T21:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. July 2026 personal consumption expenditures price index |
fd25cc497ae08549835cb8d1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "BLS projected U.S. total employment in 2035 (resolved around 2026-08-27T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{YOUR_PREDICTI... | 2026-08-27T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | BLS projected U.S. total employment in 2035 |
bfd602207b2990556bc89a84 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. corn crop rated good or excellent, week ending August 30, 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End w... | 2026-09-01T08:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. corn crop rated good or excellent, week ending August 30, 2026 |
0d02915536896c29f65eb3b0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "U.S. preliminary benchmark revision to March 2026 nonfarm payroll employment (resolved around 2026-08-28T23:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTA... | 2026-08-28T23:00:00+08:00 | 4 | U.S. preliminary benchmark revision to March 2026 nonfarm payroll employment |
9b2327713aadce194c34beb0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will ELDEN RING Tarnished Edition release for Nintendo Switch 2 on 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-28T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...... | 2026-08-28T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will ELDEN RING Tarnished Edition release for Nintendo Switch 2 on 28 August 2026? |
5968a2ad67e727ca3baed6b1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Netflix release The Whisper Man on 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-28T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-08-28T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will Netflix release The Whisper Man on 28 August 2026? |
73076da210829ad41201c202 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which work will win the 2026 Hugo Award for Best Novel? (resolved around 2026-09-01T04:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be A Drop of Corruption
B. the outcome be Death of the Author
C. the outcome be Shroud
D. the outcome be The Everlastin... | 2026-09-01T04:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Which work will win the 2026 Hugo Award for Best Novel? |
376e51ad4bfe4a7ee2fdec98 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact maximum sustained wind, in knots, will NOAA report for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no u... | 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact maximum sustained wind, in knots, will NOAA report for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? |
24cd9256742b7c52c8d0e823 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact 48-hour forecast maximum wind, in knots, will NOAA issue for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, wit... | 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact 48-hour forecast maximum wind, in knots, will NOAA issue for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? |
3d6d82f78d743e15a882f56e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the MTG-I2 Ariane 6 mission lift off on 27 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-28T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-08-28T06:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the MTG-I2 Ariane 6 mission lift off on 27 August 2026? |
b6c508d12182a097dcb83fc0 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact Lower 48 working-gas inventory, in Bcf, will EIA report for the week ending 21 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T22:45:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no un... | 2026-08-27T22:45:00+08:00 | 4 | What exact Lower 48 working-gas inventory, in Bcf, will EIA report for the week ending 21 August 2026? |
a9fac243cc545526abc72a3f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many unemployed people, in thousands, will Eurostat report for the euro area in July 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-01T17:15:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or c... | 2026-09-01T17:15:00+08:00 | 4 | How many unemployed people, in thousands, will Eurostat report for the euro area in July 2026? |
207d78382aca88d46afac10e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Which manufacturer will win the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona? (resolved around 2026-08-30T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Chevrolet
B. the outcome be Ford
C. the outcome be Toyota
D. the outcome be No official completed race ... | 2026-08-30T14:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Which manufacturer will win the 2026 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona? |
ff997f68157239de7fb23331 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What winning 72-hole total, in strokes, will the PGA TOUR record for the 2026 TOUR Championship? (resolved around 2026-08-31T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or... | 2026-08-31T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | What winning 72-hole total, in strokes, will the PGA TOUR record for the 2026 TOUR Championship? |
01eb21bf673511165dc13b19 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Los Angeles Dodgers win
B. the outcome be Atlanta Braves win
C. the outcome be ... | 2026-08-27T14:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves on 26 August 2026? |
5a885dba6c546caf89da69bc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Germany real retail-trade turnover month-on-month change — July 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T16:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End ... | 2026-09-01T16:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Germany real retail-trade turnover month-on-month change — July 2026 |
7d82bf56d561872bffc77efe | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "South Korea total exports year-on-year change — August 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \box... | 2026-09-01T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | South Korea total exports year-on-year change — August 2026 |
a43d4f36b647ca1415530ad6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact seasonally adjusted Industrial Production Index level will Japan report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-31T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units o... | 2026-08-31T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | What exact seasonally adjusted Industrial Production Index level will Japan report for July 2026? |
329a6496ef022d230417da4c | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of Washington Spirit vs Bay FC in the NWSL on 30 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-31T07:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Washington Spirit win
B. the outcome be Draw
C. the outcome be Bay FC win
D. ... | 2026-08-31T07:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of Washington Spirit vs Bay FC in the NWSL on 30 August 2026? |
e7eaa0a8f1a57ae5b8175c2f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of USA vs Colombia in the FIBA Basketball World Cup 2027 Americas Qualifiers on 31 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-01T13:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be USA win
B. the outcome be Colombia win
C. t... | 2026-09-01T13:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of USA vs Colombia in the FIBA Basketball World Cup 2027 Americas Qualifiers on 31 August 2026? |
6aa2636a4a4a5771120b191a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays on 29 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-30T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. Seattle Mariners win
B. Toronto Blue Jays win
C. NO_OFFICIAL_RESULT"
IMPORTANT: End with the s... | 2026-08-30T12:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What will be the official result of Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays on 29 August 2026? |
ebe5d60d2b6fcc482027b1c7 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Box Office Mojo Domestic Weekend 35 top five film titles (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxed{... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Box Office Mojo Domestic Weekend 35 top five film titles |
36ab6eb198fdbbb48890f4a3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "La Vuelta 2026 official general-classification top ten after Stage 9 (resolved around 2026-08-31T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End ... | 2026-08-31T08:00:00+08:00 | 4 | La Vuelta 2026 official general-classification top ten after Stage 9 |
d620f4e17339a223d4ec2c1e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What influenza percent-positive will CDC FluView report from U.S. clinical laboratories for week 33 of 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with... | 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What influenza percent-positive will CDC FluView report from U.S. clinical laboratories for week 33 of 2026? |
c779c5ee2ac895bb25a55666 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Australia Monthly Household Spending Indicator, July 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-27T10:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Year-on-year decrease
B. the outcome be Year-on-year increase below 1.0%
C. the outcome be Year-on-year increase o... | 2026-08-27T10:00:00+08:00 | 2 | Australia Monthly Household Spending Indicator, July 2026 |
d49479f2217da280c228edc9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will Germany's July 2026 ILO unemployment-rate range be? (resolved around 2026-08-28T16:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be 2.9% or lower
B. the outcome be 3.0% to 3.2%
C. the outcome be 3.3% to 3.5%
D. the outcome be 3.6% to 3.8%
E. ... | 2026-08-28T16:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will Germany's July 2026 ILO unemployment-rate range be? |
ac77bfef41811cd66cf432e6 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What year-on-year range will Hong Kong's July 2026 retail-sales volume show? (resolved around 2026-09-01T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Decrease
B. the outcome be 0.0% to 4.9% increase
C. the outcome be 5.0% to 9.9% increase
D. the... | 2026-09-01T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What year-on-year range will Hong Kong's July 2026 retail-sales volume show? |
abba636ebcab9ecd559d0dca | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many families with an open Tax-Free Childcare account will HMRC report in its June 2026 statistics? (resolved around 2026-08-26T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Under 1.5 million
B. the outcome be 1.5 million to under 2.0 million... | 2026-08-26T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | How many families with an open Tax-Free Childcare account will HMRC report in its June 2026 statistics? |
1ba15e5f442fec1f9e1708d3 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What active-recruitment vacancy rate will Northern Ireland report in its HSC Active Recruitment Statistics for June 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-26T16:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 6%
B. the outcome be 6% to under 7%
C. the o... | 2026-08-26T16:35:00+08:00 | 2 | What active-recruitment vacancy rate will Northern Ireland report in its HSC Active Recruitment Statistics for June 2026? |
3c6c017f1b056821834450f9 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many deaths due to acute respiratory infections will ABS report for Australia in its July 2026 release? (resolved around 2026-08-28T09:35:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be under 300
B. the outcome be 300 to under 500
C. the outcome be 5... | 2026-08-28T09:35:00+08:00 | 2 | How many deaths due to acute respiratory infections will ABS report for Australia in its July 2026 release? |
7799faff33817c2067427257 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas in MLS? (resolved around 2026-09-01T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be St. Louis CITY SC win
B. the outcome be Draw
C. the outcome be FC Dallas win
D. the outcome be NO... | 2026-09-01T14:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas in MLS? |
c4bbf1a0460ff43bf6543cbf | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty in the WNBA? (resolved around 2026-08-28T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Golden State Valkyries win
B. the outcome be New York Liberty win
C. the outcome... | 2026-08-28T18:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty in the WNBA? |
f28d24894c32dd2d31de8c66 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What will be the official result of Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA? (resolved around 2026-08-28T22:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Washington Mystics win
B. the outcome be Phoenix Mercury win
C. the outcome be NO_OFF... | 2026-08-28T22:00:00+08:00 | 2 | What will be the official result of Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA? |
2b9575679e010acb837fcf8e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Statistics Canada food-services and drinking-places sales, June 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-26T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End ... | 2026-08-26T21:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Statistics Canada food-services and drinking-places sales, June 2026 |
0d23af1e08420a8d9219a09a | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact value of domestic exports, in US$ millions, will Rwanda report for Q2 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentar... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | What exact value of domestic exports, in US$ millions, will Rwanda report for Q2 2026? |
82bbd12164969f37f8ad7d8d | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Australia total construction work done — June quarter 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-26T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \boxe... | 2026-08-26T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Australia total construction work done — June quarter 2026 |
66f9409e49ce55d493c17a2b | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Bank of Korea raise its Base Rate on 27 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T14:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End with the selecte... | 2026-08-27T14:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the Bank of Korea raise its Base Rate on 27 August 2026? |
49e933543a3689ecc89c6a25 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the Bank of Thailand keep the policy rate at 1.00% on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-26T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End wit... | 2026-08-26T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the Bank of Thailand keep the policy rate at 1.00% on 26 August 2026? |
2a97e22f0c3d313a3f1474cd | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Arsenal beat Aston Villa in the Premier League on 31 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-01T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End with th... | 2026-09-01T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Arsenal beat Aston Villa in the Premier League on 31 August 2026? |
068a8d45357c91fca1495fd8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga opener? (resolved around 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End with t... | 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart in the 2026/27 Bundesliga opener? |
4def1fbe05fae995e8430eed | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least one home run in Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by th... | 2026-08-27T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Shohei Ohtani hit at least one home run in Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves on 26 August 2026? |
abe617471ea8ff9c80170005 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Canada’s Q2 2026 current-account balance be in surplus? (resolved around 2026-08-28T21:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected... | 2026-08-28T21:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Canada’s Q2 2026 current-account balance be in surplus? |
9a80075cb479662ecd6c0973 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will NHS England report an HCHS headcount of at least 1,550,000 for June 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official result by the deadline"
IMPORTANT: End... | 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will NHS England report an HCHS headcount of at least 1,550,000 for June 2026? |
2269a24382b3e6b080442590 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many prescription items will Northern Ireland report in General Pharmaceutical Services Statistics for Q1 2026/27? (resolved around 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement cont... | 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many prescription items will Northern Ireland report in General Pharmaceutical Services Statistics for Q1 2026/27? |
0fe1f1627b302279e314dd92 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What average annual earnings figure will NHS England report for all staff in its June 2026 NHS Staff Earnings Estimates? (resolved around 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement co... | 2026-08-27T18:00:00+08:00 | 3 | What average annual earnings figure will NHS England report for all staff in its June 2026 NHS Staff Earnings Estimates? |
194086e623f54d977b7d0e33 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "How many UK patent applications will the Intellectual Property Office report for July 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T19:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or comm... | 2026-08-27T19:00:00+08:00 | 3 | How many UK patent applications will the Intellectual Property Office report for July 2026? |
94998769c3cc9a51b70e355f | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Box Office Mojo Domestic daily top five film titles, 29 August 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End w... | 2026-09-01T18:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Box Office Mojo Domestic daily top five film titles, 29 August 2026 |
802998eb6c251d77b80f0030 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the official SCO English site report that the Chinese president attended the 2026 Bishkek Council of Heads of State meeting? (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End w... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will the official SCO English site report that the Chinese president attended the 2026 Bishkek Council of Heads of State meeting? |
ba3e037e0dce5e34124c42eb | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Denmark's official August 2026 Security Council presidency site publish a month wrap-up by 1 September 2026? (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will Denmark's official August 2026 Security Council presidency site publish a month wrap-up by 1 September 2026? |
f76fa2967c617d6458199cff | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will CPHC still classify Moke as a tropical storm or hurricane at 5:00 a.m. HST on 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official advisory"
IMPORTAN... | 2026-08-29T08:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will CPHC still classify Moke as a tropical storm or hurricane at 5:00 a.m. HST on 28 August 2026? |
92051c1bb41b38698c51279e | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will 20th Century Studios open The Dog Stars in U.S. theaters on 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-29T15:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-08-29T15:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will 20th Century Studios open The Dog Stars in U.S. theaters on 28 August 2026? |
851a70594771f5487528bce1 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Netflix release Leanne Season 2 on 27 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-27T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-08-27T23:59:59+08:00 | 1 | Will Netflix release Leanne Season 2 on 27 August 2026? |
4c36b26cf6ccaea7b5d84076 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "What exact minimum central pressure, in mb, will NOAA report for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no un... | 2026-08-26T23:10:00+08:00 | 3 | What exact minimum central pressure, in mb, will NOAA report for Iselle at 1500 UTC on 26 August 2026? |
ad61393404b810e2a725b008 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Billboard Hot Country Songs top five dated 5 September 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \box... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Billboard Hot Country Songs top five dated 5 September 2026 |
e041f3a52a94197281e570a8 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Roadside Attractions open Buddy in U.S. theaters on 28 August 2026? (resolved around 2026-08-29T15:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No"
IMPORTANT: End with the selected option letter(s) in \boxed{...}. | 2026-08-29T15:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Roadside Attractions open Buddy in U.S. theaters on 28 August 2026? |
d986fa569cd60b2f2c84dd10 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Chairman Warsh's official 28 August 2026 Jackson Hole speech text contain the phrase artificial intelligence? (resolved around 2026-08-29T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official sp... | 2026-08-29T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Chairman Warsh's official 28 August 2026 Jackson Hole speech text contain the phrase artificial intelligence? |
90b7f48e0704da8e7ef92835 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will the IAEA announce that its ATLAS initiative was launched at the 26–27 August 2026 ministerial event in Washington? (resolved around 2026-08-28T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes — IAEA confirms ATLAS launched at the Washington... | 2026-08-28T12:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will the IAEA announce that its ATLAS initiative was launched at the 26–27 August 2026 ministerial event in Washington? |
fb039f1ab3d3c02479563914 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Salesforce Q2 FY2027: what exact total revenue will the company report? (resolved around 2026-08-27T08:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: E... | 2026-08-27T08:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Salesforce Q2 FY2027: what exact total revenue will the company report? |
60e2cc4116d885a2344f85a2 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Marvell Q2 FY2027: what exact GAAP net revenue will it report? (resolved around 2026-08-28T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT: End with \... | 2026-08-28T06:00:00+08:00 | 3 | Marvell Q2 FY2027: what exact GAAP net revenue will it report? |
ea8809715cd8d76f988cf988 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "NVIDIA Q2 FY2027: what exact Data Center revenue will the company report? (resolved around 2026-08-27T06:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT:... | 2026-08-27T06:00:00+08:00 | 4 | NVIDIA Q2 FY2027: what exact Data Center revenue will the company report? |
7242aae05ce7e7ed1cb361d4 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Utility patents issued in the USPTO Official Gazette dated 1 September 2026 (resolved around 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTAN... | 2026-09-01T23:59:59+08:00 | 4 | Utility patents issued in the USPTO Official Gazette dated 1 September 2026 |
7add4b00f374b4d0ad16ce52 | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Official winners of the six UFC Shanghai main-card bouts on 29 August 2026 (resolved around 2026-08-30T12:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8))."
Return exactly the source-native value required by the settlement contract, with no units or commentary.
IMPORTANT... | 2026-08-30T12:00:00+08:00 | 4 | Official winners of the six UFC Shanghai main-card bouts on 29 August 2026 |
9f5b9507b27d1cdde2e9e7fc | You are an agent that can predict future events. The event to be predicted: "Will Hong Kong CHP's week-34 2026 Flu Express still state that Hong Kong is in influenza season? (resolved around 2026-08-28T18:00:00+08:00 (GMT+8)).
A. the outcome be Yes
B. the outcome be No
C. the outcome be No official bulletin"
IMPORTANT:... | 2026-08-28T18:00:00+08:00 | 1 | Will Hong Kong CHP's week-34 2026 Flu Express still state that Hong Kong is in influenza season? |
Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge
📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987 🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/
We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.
1. Weekly Rules
- A new set of tasks is released every week.
- This week's tasks cover events with an end time between
2026-08-26, 24:00 (UTC+8)and2026-09-01, 24:00 (UTC+8). - You must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
- Late submissions will not be counted.
- The leaderboard for this round will be updated by
2026-09-03 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).
⚠️ Next submission deadline: 2026-08-26, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)
2. How to Participate?
Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online
Run your model on the tasks.
Email your predictions to FutureX-ai@outlook.com before the deadline.
Email subject format:
FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]
Submission requirements:
- File format: JSON (or JSONL)
- Include dataset commit/hash you used
- Required fields:
id,prediction
3. Leaderboard and Privacy
- Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard by default.
- You can choose to keep it private or make it public.
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