---
title: TIPM v1.5 - Tariff Impact Propagation Model
emoji: 🌐
colorFrom: blue
colorTo: green
sdk: gradio
sdk_version: 5.41.0
app_file: app.py
pinned: false
license: mit
tags:
  - economics
  - ai
  - tariffs
  - trade
  - policy-analysis
  - supply-chain
  - international-trade
  - economic-modeling
---

# 🚀 TIPM - Tariff Impact Propagation Model

## 🌟 **Live Demo: [Try TIPM Now!](https://huggingface.co/spaces/thegeekybeng/TIPM-app)**

**Professional-grade economic intelligence platform** for analyzing tariff policy impacts across global supply chains.

## 🎯 **What is TIPM?**

TIPM is an **advanced 6-layer machine learning pipeline** that predicts how tariff changes propagate through:

1. **🌍 Trade Networks** - Supply chain disruption modeling
2. **🏭 Industry Sectors** - Economic response prediction  
3. **🏢 Firm-Level Impact** - Employment and adaptation analysis
4. **🛒 Consumer Markets** - Price and demand forecasting
5. **⚖️ Geopolitical Feedback** - Social and political response modeling

## 🚀 **Key Features**

### **📊 Multi-Layer Analysis**
- **Policy Trigger Processing** - NLP analysis of tariff announcements
- **Trade Flow Modeling** - Graph-based supply chain disruption
- **Industry Response** - Sector-level economic impact prediction
- **Firm Impact** - Employment and adaptation modeling
- **Consumer Impact** - Price and demand forecasting
- **Geopolitical Feedback** - Social and political response analysis

### **🎯 Advanced Capabilities**
- **185 Countries** with enhanced economic classifications
- **Real-time Data Crawling** from World Bank, US Census, UN Comtrade
- **ML-Powered Validation** with anomaly detection
- **Ensemble Learning** combining multiple prediction models
- **Interactive Visualizations** with Plotly charts
- **Professional Export** in multiple formats (CSV, Excel, JSON)

### **🔍 Smart Classifications**
- **Emerging Markets** identification
- **Tech Manufacturing** exporter rankings
- **Resource Export** categorization (Mining, Agriculture)
- **Strategic Commodities** tracking
- **Trade Agreement** membership mapping

## 🎮 **How to Use**

### **1. Country Analysis**
- Select countries from the dropdown
- Choose analysis parameters
- View comprehensive impact predictions
- Export results for further analysis

### **2. Sector Analysis**
- Focus on specific economic sectors
- Analyze cross-country sector impacts
- Generate sector-specific reports

### **3. Data Export**
- Export analysis results in multiple formats
- Download visualizations and charts
- Generate professional reports

## 🏗️ **Technical Architecture**

### **ML Pipeline**
- **XGBoost & LightGBM** for classification tasks
- **LSTM Networks** for time series forecasting
- **Ensemble Methods** for robust predictions
- **SHAP Analysis** for explainable AI

### **Data Infrastructure**
- **Autonomous Data Crawling** with RAG capabilities
- **Vector Database** for intelligent data discovery
- **Real-time Validation** with quality scoring
- **Multi-source Integration** from authoritative sources

### **Web Interface**
- **Gradio-based** responsive design
- **Interactive Charts** with Plotly
- **Professional Export** capabilities
- **Mobile-friendly** interface

## 📊 **Data Sources**

- **US Census Bureau** - Trade statistics
- **World Bank** - GDP and economic indicators
- **USTR** - Tariff policy data
- **MSCI & FTSE Russell** - Market classifications
- **OECD** - Economic indicators
- **UN Statistics Division** - Global trade data
- **FAO** - Agricultural trade data

## 🔬 **Research Applications**

- **Trade Policy Analysis** - Impact assessment
- **Supply Chain Risk** - Disruption modeling
- **Economic Forecasting** - GDP and trade prediction
- **Policy Recommendation** - Evidence-based insights
- **Academic Research** - Economic modeling studies

## 🚀 **Getting Started**

1. **Visit the Demo**: [https://huggingface.co/spaces/thegeekybeng/TIPM](https://huggingface.co/spaces/thegeekybeng/TIPM)
2. **Select Countries** - Choose from 185 available countries
3. **Run Analysis** - Use default or custom parameters
4. **Explore Results** - Interactive charts and detailed predictions
5. **Export Data** - Download results for further analysis

## 📚 **Documentation**

- **API Reference**: [GitHub Repository](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM)
- **Technical Details**: [Project Wiki](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM/wiki)
- **Research Papers**: [Academic Publications](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM/tree/main/papers)

## 🤝 **Contributing**

We welcome contributions! Please see our [Contributing Guidelines](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM/blob/main/CONTRIBUTING.md).

## 📄 **License**

This project is licensed under the MIT License - see the [LICENSE](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM/blob/main/LICENSE) file for details.

## 📞 **Contact**

- **Developer**: [thegeekybeng@outlook.com](mailto:thegeekybeng@outlook.com)
- **GitHub**: [@thegeekybeng](https://github.com/thegeekybeng)
- **Project**: [TIPM Repository](https://github.com/thegeekybeng/TIPM)

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**🚀 Built with advanced ML, deployed on Hugging Face Spaces**